TOA
PAYOH VETS
toapayohvets.com
Date:
10 March, 2010
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TIPS FOR THE
FIRST-TIME SHARE TRADER
Dr Sing Kong Yuen, BVMS
(Glasgow), MRCVS
First written: Jun 10,
2009.
Update: Dec 31, 2009
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There are numerous books on
investments in shares. Buying good shares do increase your
wealth as savings deposits in Singapore give you only 0.5%
interest per year. So, your $100 earns you $5.00 after one
year. But inflation in Singapore is conservatively for this
study, 10% per annum. So, your $100 is worth $90.00 at the end
of one year if you don't invest in good shares. You don't lose
money too as your shares may drop 50 - 100% of its value due
to poor management and fraud by the corporations.
WHICH SHARES TO BUY?
1. Read widely all financial and political news including
Financial Times, Business Times and online reports of various
industries and their characteristics and fraudulent dealings
of directors.
2. Learn the technical jargon
of share investment and know how to apply this knowledge. For
example, P/E (price earnings) ratio, EPS (earnings/share), NAV
(Net Asset Value), Dividends.
3. Every day, spend time reading and reviewing the few shares
you have adopted. Just invest up to 5 corporations as a
beginner. You need to be hands-on. You will make mistakes as
you are a beginner.
4. Use % changes from
previous years instead of looking at the absolute numbers like
turnover. Historical information is practically no use to
predict future earnings but they serve as a guide.
5. Read all about the company
reports and releases (online). Attend their annual
general meetings. Know about whistle-blowing. Get out if there
is some mis-management or directors suddenly selling off their
shares.
6. Know the industry trends
and market environment. For example, Singapore bank and
property shares were at rock bottom in 2008. Anybody who has
the money and patience will be amply rewarded by an increase
in 30% of profits at the end of 2009 if they have had bought
e.g. bank shares. If they buy shipping shares or China S-chip
shares, they have sunk and drowned. You can only do this by
reading widely (online news nowadays are so
convenient), subscribing to financial news like Business Times
(for Singapore shares) etc.
7. Speculative shares
are to be avoided. However in a rising market, speculative
shares rise every week and you will be tempted in making easy
money. You pump in more money. The big boys (including hedge
fund managers and professional traders in the banks) play out
the small shareholders after some time by laughing all their
way to the bank.
8. Invest only in shares when you have some cash that you can
afford to lose.
9. There are more than just 8 tips to be successful in share
investment. I have not bought shares in the market for the
past 10 years. I invested in only one company's IPO last year
as I know the managing chairman and believe he has the
expertise to build up the company.
10. Sometimes, working hard and smart in your profession may
be the best way to sleep peacefully at night. This is because
the present world is filled with many fraudulent
misrepresentations by corporations, bankers and auditors as
regards the corporation's turnovers and profitability.
However, there are good corporations which are well managed.
You need to know where they are.
P.S. One of the financial
news is:
Straits Times March 2, 2010 Page B15 - Listed firms' profits
inch up 5.7%. This is considered excellent as 2009 was a
recession year. There were 324 gainers and 84 losers.
The top gainer was Wilmar. The others were DBS, OCBC Bank, UOB,
Keppel Corp, Capital Land, Golden Agri-Resources, Noble,
Jardine C&C and Sembcorp Marine.
Top 10 losers were NOL, Australand, Genting Sinapore,
Singapore Land, UIC, OUE, STX Pan Ocean, PineAgritech, Huan
Hsin, Sino Techfibre. |
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