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Date:   08 March, 2010  
Focus: Small animals - dogs, cats, hamsters, guinea pig & rabbits.

Toa Payoh Vets Clinical Research
Making veterinary surgery alive
to a veterinary student studying in Australia
using real case studies and pictures

Forex Investment Information  
Dr Sing Kong Yuen, BVMS (Glasgow), MRCVS
First written:  08 March, 2010

 
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Be Kind To Pets
Veterinary Education
Project 2010-0129
Forex On 5 Hours A Week
How to make money trading on your own time

The following is a summary of a book written by a home-trader, Raghee Horner. It is published by Wiley in 2010 and contains information for young people who wants to go into forex trading with no experience.

1. The author says that the Wave is a necessary software as it provides him a visual footprint of the market's trend or lack of trend. The Wave is a real-time tool to make decisions about the market cycles. It focuses you on the right and most effective chart patterns, indicators, set-ups and saves him a lot of time. However, he does not just rely on the Wave as he has to know the market environment and the prices that big boys in banks and corporations with their insider information and knowledge play the currencies market. These are professional gamblers and he acknowledges that he does not have all the insider information that they have.

2. However, most traders make two mistakes as regards not knowing the market cycles and timing.

3. Knowledge of psychology comes lst, 2nd, 3rd and in any other place makes a successful trader. You have confidence if you have knowledge that you can recognise the set-up and confirm what you recognise is working. Merely know that you can recognise a set-up is no good.

4. A successful trader knows when to use a particular strategy. The best traders keep their trading simple.

5. Canned strategy (e.g. do Step 1, Step 2, Step 3) does not make you successful in the long term as you do not consider the market environment

6. Consider your situation. Are you a short-funded trader? 30-60 minutes a day only to find trading opportunities. Do you prefer options? You should not worry about time but about results. You should aim to be a full-time trader with part-time hours.

7. He recommends reading:

www.babypips.com ( blog. He is Queen Cleopatra in the blog)
www.meetpips.com  (Facebook community of traders)
www.dailymotion.com/ez2tradesoftware
autochartist
www.ise.com/fx  (forex options)

www.ragheehorner.com  (he writers for www.forextraderdaily.com , www.fxsteret.com, www.tradingmarkets.com  (www.patternradar.com)

www.zenhabits.net  (to de-clutter your life)
www.lifehacker.com  (good ideas)
www.smarterwave.org  (by lifehacker - software tips)

Conclusion:
Application of a strategy. When to use a particular strategy rather than knowing how to recognise the existence of a set-up (as taught in many forex books) is what makes a forex trader successful. Results count in the final analysis. 

Can some of his ideas apply to the practice of veterinary medicine and surgery? In forex trading?  Results (clinical outcomes of treatment and surgery) count rather than correct diagnosis of a disease and abundant theoretical knowledge.

Failing to produce good results in a surgery and anaesthesia means the death of the pet or to the loss of confidence and therefore migration of the client to competitors.

Market cycles and time
are important to the success of the forex trader. For the small animal vet, I don't know whether there is a veterinary equivalent to the "market cycles" in forex trading.

However, the timing of the surgeries and anaesthesia in emergency cases is important to his or her success. If the animal is already too ill due to the client's delay in seeking advice, the timing is not appropriate for surgery and anaesthesia. The outcome is death and the vet sometimes do get the blame. Such owners seldom blame themselves for the protracted illness or delays.

So, the best strategy may be just to pass the buck to other vets in such cases if the vet does not want high emotions, drama and bad-mouthing of him in handling high-risk anaesthetic cases which are part and parcel of the practice of veterinary medicine and surgery. 
 

Forex Investment in a Singapore's bank

How does the principles of the above book apply to the individual? I will illustrate with one case. I don't play forex at all and so it is best for the reader to do much more research if he or she is interested in this high-risk trading.  

Standard Chartered Bank at Ion Orchard has this signboard outside, saying 4.15% interest if you invest in Australian Dollar deposits. As the A$1.00 is around S$1.30, my friend Julia was interested in this advertisement.

She wanted to buy some A$ low so that she could pay her son's tuition fees if she bought low. One year ago, the A$1.00 was as low as $1.00 but now, it has appreciated 30%. Singapore banks pay 0.3% (per annum) interest for savings account and therefore, the 4.15% (per annum) in A$ investment looks very attractive. So, I got her to talk to the financial adviser in the bank.  He recommended dual currency swap for her. What is a dual currency swap?

DUAL CURRENCY SWAP
Basically, this is a forex trading put option, I said to Julia. Julia would buy Australian Dollar at, for example A$1.00 to S$1.2708. 2 weeks later, at 2.30 pm, if the A$ has dropped to $$1.2580, she would make money of around S$500 based on a S$50,000 investment. In these 2 weeks, she would be paid 4.3% to 7% depending on the initial investment. At 4.3% for 2 weeks, she would get an interest of S$500 if she invested S$50,000 and if the A$1.00 has had not dropped to S$1.2580. If the A$ has dropped more than that, the bank keeps the balance of the profits. Another contract would be opened after the end of 2 weeks.   

"You get $500 for $50,000 after 2 weeks if the put option is not exercised. I asked the gentleman to state the interest in this deal rather than stating $500 profit. He said it is 2.5% for 2 weeks. Is this correct? It sounds too good to be true. There will be risks.

What are the risks? At the worst scenario, $50,000 will be lost if Standard Chartered Bank goes bankrupt. This has happened to Lehman Brothers, a very famous old bank in 2009. The Singapore Government does not guarantee investment accounts. Savings accounts are protected up to $20,000 so far.

Lots of small investors in Singapore lost substantial savings when Lehman Brothers closed down in 2009. Many people don't make money when they invest in unit trusts with their CPF (Central Provident Fund) monies at the wrong time. Timing is still everything but the investment bank is nowadays less than reliable as the bankers create high-risk derivatives and investment plans to make money for themselves out of money from the small investor. They pay themselves extremely well, even when their banks fail and have to be bailed out by the tax-payer's money. 

So, is it worthwhile for Julia to take this investment route? It is a personal decision. In my opinion, it is best not to take this risk as $50,000 is a large amount for Julia. 2.5% interest in 2 weeks is a very great temptation. This works out to be 5% per month or 60% per year in simple calculations. For Standard Chartered Bank, I have no doubt it will return Julia's capital. For scam people who proposed such returns, don't part with your money. I have just heard of a scam whereby the "investor" offered 2% per week and deposit some "gold" worth more than the market value as security. The only problem is that the real value of the "gold" is unknown.  

Julia has no interest in financial and market news at all and $50,000 was her retirement savings as well as money for her son's tuition fees.  She earned a salary. It would be better to be keep her savings rather invest in forex trading and funds unless she can afford to lose the money.

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Project 2010-0129
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