Forex On 5 Hours A Week
How to make money trading on your own time
The following is a summary of a book written by a
home-trader, Raghee Horner. It is published by Wiley in
2010 and contains information for young people who wants
to go into forex trading with no experience.
1. The author says that the Wave is a necessary software
as it provides him a visual footprint of the market's
trend or lack of trend. The Wave is a real-time tool to
make decisions about the market cycles. It focuses you
on the right and most effective chart patterns,
indicators, set-ups and saves him a lot of time.
However, he does not just rely on the Wave as he has to
know the market environment and the prices that big boys
in banks and corporations with their insider information
and knowledge play the currencies market. These are
professional gamblers and he acknowledges that he does
not have all the insider information that they have.
2. However, most traders make two mistakes as regards
not knowing the market cycles and timing.
3. Knowledge of psychology comes lst, 2nd, 3rd and in any other place
makes a successful trader. You have confidence if you have
knowledge that you can recognise the set-up and confirm
what you recognise is working. Merely know that you can
recognise a set-up is no good.
4. A successful trader knows when to use a particular
strategy. The best traders keep their trading simple.
5. Canned strategy (e.g. do Step 1, Step 2, Step 3) does not
make you successful in the long term as you do not
consider the market environment.
6. Consider your situation. Are you a short-funded
trader? 30-60 minutes a day only to find trading
opportunities. Do you prefer options? You should not
worry about time but about results. You should aim to
be a full-time trader with part-time hours.
7. He recommends reading:
www.babypips.com (
blog. He is Queen Cleopatra in the blog)
www.meetpips.com
(Facebook community of traders)
www.dailymotion.com/ez2tradesoftware
autochartist
www.ise.com/fx
(forex options)
www.ragheehorner.com (he writers for
www.forextraderdaily.com ,
www.fxsteret.com,
www.tradingmarkets.com (www.patternradar.com)
www.zenhabits.net
(to de-clutter your life)
www.lifehacker.com
(good ideas)
www.smarterwave.org
(by lifehacker - software tips)
Conclusion:
Application of a strategy. When
to use a particular strategy rather than knowing how to
recognise the existence of a set-up (as taught in many forex books)
is what makes a forex trader successful. Results
count in the final analysis.
Can some of his ideas apply to the practice of
veterinary medicine and surgery? In forex trading? Results (clinical
outcomes of treatment and surgery) count rather than
correct diagnosis of a disease and abundant theoretical
knowledge.
Failing to produce good results in a surgery and
anaesthesia means the death of the pet or to the loss of
confidence and therefore migration of the client to competitors.
Market cycles and time
are important to the success of the forex
trader. For the small animal vet, I don't know whether
there is a veterinary equivalent to the "market cycles"
in forex trading.
However, the timing of the surgeries and anaesthesia in
emergency cases is important to his or her success. If
the animal is already too ill due to the client's delay
in seeking advice, the timing is not appropriate for
surgery and anaesthesia. The outcome is death and the
vet sometimes do get the blame. Such owners seldom blame
themselves for the protracted illness or delays.
So, the best strategy may be just to pass the buck to
other vets in such cases if the vet does not want high
emotions, drama and bad-mouthing of him in handling
high-risk anaesthetic cases which are part and parcel of
the practice of veterinary medicine and surgery.
Forex Investment in a
Singapore's bank
How does the principles of the above book apply to the
individual? I will illustrate with one case. I don't
play forex at all and so it is best for the reader to do
much more research if he or she is interested in this
high-risk trading.
Standard Chartered Bank at Ion Orchard has this
signboard outside, saying 4.15% interest if you invest
in Australian Dollar deposits. As the A$1.00 is around
S$1.30, my friend Julia was interested in this
advertisement.
She wanted to buy some A$ low so that she
could pay her son's tuition fees if she bought low. One
year ago, the A$1.00 was as low as $1.00 but now, it has
appreciated 30%. Singapore banks pay 0.3% (per annum)
interest for savings account and therefore, the 4.15%
(per annum) in A$ investment looks very attractive. So,
I got her to talk to the financial adviser in the bank.
He recommended dual currency swap for her. What is a
dual currency swap?
DUAL CURRENCY SWAP
Basically, this is a forex trading put option,
I said to Julia. Julia would buy Australian Dollar at,
for example A$1.00 to S$1.2708. 2 weeks later, at 2.30
pm, if the A$ has dropped to $$1.2580, she would make
money of around S$500 based on a S$50,000 investment. In
these 2 weeks, she would be paid 4.3% to 7% depending on
the initial investment. At 4.3% for 2 weeks, she would
get an interest of S$500 if she invested S$50,000 and if
the A$1.00 has had not dropped to S$1.2580. If the A$
has dropped more than that, the bank keeps the balance
of the profits. Another contract would be opened after
the end of 2 weeks.
"You get $500 for $50,000 after 2 weeks if the put
option is not exercised. I asked the gentleman to state
the interest in this deal rather than stating $500
profit. He said it is 2.5% for 2 weeks. Is this correct?
It sounds too good to be true. There will be risks.
What
are the risks? At the worst scenario, $50,000 will be lost if Standard
Chartered Bank goes bankrupt. This has happened to Lehman Brothers, a
very famous old bank in 2009. The Singapore Government does not
guarantee investment accounts. Savings accounts are
protected up to $20,000 so far.
Lots of small investors in Singapore lost
substantial savings when Lehman Brothers closed down in
2009. Many people don't make money when they invest in
unit trusts with their CPF (Central Provident Fund)
monies at the wrong time. Timing is still everything but
the investment bank is nowadays less than reliable as
the bankers create high-risk derivatives and investment
plans to make money for themselves out of money from the
small investor. They pay themselves extremely well, even
when their banks fail and have to be bailed out by the
tax-payer's money.
So, is it worthwhile
for Julia to take this
investment route? It is a personal decision. In my
opinion, it is best not to take this risk as $50,000 is
a large amount for Julia. 2.5% interest in 2 weeks is a
very great temptation. This works out to be 5% per month
or 60% per year in simple calculations. For Standard
Chartered Bank, I have no doubt it will return Julia's
capital. For scam people who proposed such returns,
don't part with your money. I have just heard of a scam
whereby the "investor" offered 2% per week and deposit
some "gold" worth more than the market value as
security. The only problem is that the real value of the
"gold" is unknown.
Julia has no interest in
financial and market news at all and $50,000 was her
retirement savings as well as money for her son's
tuition fees. She earned a salary. It would be
better to be keep her savings rather invest in forex
trading and funds unless she can afford to lose the
money. |